Welcome back. When I launched this newsletter, I promised you zeitgeist, so here's the zeitgeist — I am filing this at ungodly hours, from a flat in Tivat, on the coast of Montenegro, on five hours' sleep, praying for no typos and my keyboard on fire. But oh boy how I love this job.
This week, we were deployed alongside my producer Paul and my cameraman Pierre to Porto Montenegro for the EU-Western Balkans summit. To kick off, we sat down with António Costa on the eve of the gathering. The European Council chief told me there is real momentum for enlarging the European Union, which is a big statement to make in the Balkans, where accession has been associated for a good two decades with lost promises and missed deadlines.
But he has a point.
Hungary's decision to lift its veto on Ukraine – and by extension Moldova – to formally open accession negotiations ahead of the Western Balkans summit has revitalised the process and lifted the mood in Brussels.
For the Council chief, the decision signals a new entente cordiale among Europeans, and the upcoming EU summit in June will be used to show just that. It is also a sweet victory for Costa after he proclaimed that no one – in a clear reference to Viktor Orbán – would blackmail the Council under his watch. After all, his crediblity depends on that.
Still, questions remain. Many of the details of the deal struck between Budapest and Kyiv over the rights of the Hungarian minority in Ukraine – a sensitive issue for both sides – remain unclear. Péter Magyar has also indicated that he will maintain a hard line on his neighbour's accession, rejecting any fast-track and doubling down on a referendum on membership. Here is a must-read on how the saga unfolded by my colleagues Jorge, Luca, Sandor and Sasha.
Ukraine is now expected to open the first set of negotiations this month, but diplomats in Tivat also told me that the remaining five clusters (in plain English, more sets of reforms) could drag beyond July, which is what the Commission wants, and a period of three additional months seems more realistic. Still, Costa told me that, given the amount of work done in parallel, Ukraine should also be in a position to close them swiftly, which is really what matters.
Going back to the Balkans, Montenegro is firmly on track to join in 2028. And it makes sense — the addition of a new member state that is pro-European, already in NATO, and relatively small, and so easy to manage, would signal enlargement is alive without too many complications for the 27.
For the rest, Costa told me joining the EU is "merit-based and will always be merit-based" but also conceded that the process needs to be simplified. His tone in our interview echoed a proposal put forward by France and Germany calling for a "more structured gradual integration" for aspiring countries.
The idea is simple, think of it as building blocks — the more you reform, the more EU perks candidates can unlock, including more access to the single market, which is the money-maker. On the sidelines, Edi Rama of Albania told me enlargement needs a "political boom" beyond technicalities.
Interestingly, Rama alongside Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić penned an op-ed earlier this year that went under the radar, a mistake in my view, in which they suggested they could give up full membership rights for a quick seat at the table. When I asked if his op-ed may have served as inspiration for Macron and Merz, he told me his plan was better. Classic Rama.
The Albanian prime minister was also busy dealing with the fallout of a planned luxury resort linked to the Kushner-Trump clan on the Adriatic. The project set on Sazan island – which seemingly triggered a spiritual moment for Ivanka Trump – has led Albanians to the streets in protest. Rama told me he hears the concerns, but pointed to a darker plot fuelled by antisemitism, "hostile" external forces and an army of bots. "We are under a hybrid attack," he told me.
Protesters in Tirana insist what's really under attack is the natural habitat of Albania's coastline by the Kushner's fancy project. You can read our piece here.
Returning to Vučić, he did show up at the summit after much speculation that he would skip it after a week of tensions with Montenegro, celebrating the 20th anniversary of "the restoration of its independence" from Serbia, and prior Yugoslavia. Vučić suggested that his intelligence services had advised him against going to Tivat, citing a high-level security threat.
Montenegro's Prime Minister Milojko Spajić told me in a sit-down interview that he was proud of his police and intelligence services for keeping "all leaders" safe. The place, I can tell you, was high on security, with a helicopter hovering above the fancy hotel where the summit took place, much to the dismay of our sound guys. Oh, and guess who didn't show up? Meloni and Magyar.
Staying on Serbia, the exasperation is growing.
Chancellor Merz told reporters after the meeting that Vučić's three-way on the EU, China and Russia, is simply not possible. "Serbia must clearly define where this country sees its future," he said, and perhaps they will when the election due this year finally gets a date.
"Serbia knows what it has to do, if they do, we move forward. If not, we stay blocked," Costa told me, noting the country has not opened a single new cluster since 2021 over what the Commission calls serious backsliding in fundamental issues like judicial independence and media freedom.
The Commission is hopeful that the Vučić government will undo a judiciary overhaul approved at the start of the year, and sees it as a real test of goodwill if they do. Serbia, like it or not, given its size and geography, is instrumental to maintaining stability in a complex neighbourhood. As one diplomat told me, you simply cannot ignore them — it's too risky.
My takeaway?
There is real momentum, forced by rough geopolitics, with Montenegro offering everyone a win. "It's the cookie of the Balkans," its prime minister told me — if you like one, you want more. But the next round of enlargement will not be like the previous; it cannot be — the rules of the game will have to change.
No further proof than the final press conference in Tivat, where attention centred on planned talks in London between Germany, France and the UK on Sunday, with Zelenskyy set to join them. The Europeans have finally figured out they have to do the heavy lifting alone. The war has changed everything for the EU, and it will have a knock-on effect on how to enlarge the union.
PS, at the airport I picked up a pack of Parliaments and a copy of VOGUE Adria — I can't read a word, but Slavoj Žižek was on the cover. Welcome to the Balkans!
As always, if you have any comments, email me at maria.tadeo@euronews.com.
Off the Record will return to its usual format next week.
— Maria Tadeo |